Engineering & Accounting Report

Non-Linear Multi-Asset PV & BESS Trading Framework

Report Date

March 15, 2026

Version 2.0 | Confidential

Executive Summary

The Dr. Beyers Naudé Municipality has implemented a sophisticated Multi-Asset Trading Framework for Small-Scale Embedded Generation (SSEG) that combines PV Solar, Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS), and Eskom Virtual Wheeling to achieve unprecedented bulk supply cost dilution and revenue generation.

This framework transforms electricity from a cost burden into a revenue stream. At full deployment (Q3 2026), the municipality will achieve -34.1% Eskom dependency — meaning the SSEG system generates more value than baseline Eskom costs, delivering R 14.38 million monthly savings.

The Strategic Significance of BESS

Why Battery Storage is the Cornerstone of Financial Transformation

!The Challenge: Eskom's Escalating Peak Tariffs

Eskom's Time-of-Use (TOU) tariff structure creates a 6x price differential between off-peak (R 1.08/kWh) and peak periods (R 6.47/kWh). With annual escalations of 10%+ per year, peak tariffs are projected to reach R 16.77/kWh by 2035 — a 159% increase from current levels.

2026 Peak

R 6.47/kWh

2030 Peak

R 9.47/kWh

2035 Peak

R 16.77/kWh

1BESS Counter-Strategy: Peak Tariff Mitigation

The BESS system charges during off-peak periods at R 1.08/kWh and discharges during peak periods, effectively avoiding the R 6.47/kWh peak tariff. This creates a R 5.40/kWh arbitrage spread that translates to R 64.13 million annuallyin pure profit at full deployment (121.94 MWh).

Charge Off-Peak

R 1.08/kWh

Discharge Peak

R 6.47/kWh

=

Arbitrage Profit

R 5.40/kWh

2Virtual Wheeling: A Unique Income Stream

Excess BESS capacity (24.3 MWh/day) is sold back to Eskom through the Virtual Wheeling Program at rates between R 1.65 - R 2.50/kWh. This creates a completely new revenue stream of R 7.94 million annually that serves three critical functions:

A

Debt Settlement

Virtual Wheeling revenue can be allocated to settle existing Eskom debt within 3 years, eliminating interest burdens and improving municipal credit standing.

B

Charging Cost Offset

Post-debt settlement, excess revenue offsets BESS off-peak charging costs, effectively making the arbitrage operation self-funding.

C

Arbitrage Optimization

When charging costs are offset, 100% of arbitrage revenue becomes pure profit, maximizing the BESS return on investment.

3The Virtuous Cycle: BESS as a Financial Engine

The BESS creates a self-reinforcing financial engine that grows stronger over time:

Year 1-3

Debt Settlement

VW revenue clears Eskom debt

Year 4-6

Cost Offset

VW offsets charging costs

Year 7-10

Pure Profit

100% arbitrage = profit

The Bottom Line

The BESS is not merely a battery — it is a strategic financial instrument that converts Eskom's punitive peak pricing into municipal revenue. Through the combination of peak arbitrage (R 64.13M/yr), demand reduction (R 12.97M/yr), and Virtual Wheeling (R 7.94M/yr), the BESS delivers R 77.10 million annually (excluding VW) while simultaneously settling debt and future-proofing the municipality against Eskom's escalating tariffs.

Key Results Summary

R 217K

Current Monthly Savings

Q1 2026 (2.603 MWp + 4 MWh)

R 14.38M

Target Monthly Savings

Q3 2026 (Full Deployment)

R 3.76B

10-Year Total Savings

Including Virtual Wheeling

R 7.94M

Virtual Wheeling/Year

NEW Revenue Stream

The Multi-Asset Trading Framework

Four revenue streams that transform electricity from a cost center to profit center

1

PV Solar Generation

Target: 137.61 MWp generating 229 GWh/year at R 1.25/kWh vs Eskom R 2.36/kWh weighted average.

Annual Profit: R 86.92M (after covering BESS cost)

2

BESS Peak Arbitrage

Target: 121.94 MWh charging at R 1.08/kWh (off-peak), discharging at R 6.47/kWh (peak) — 6x price differential.

Annual Profit: R 64.13M (pure arbitrage profit)

3

Demand Charge Reduction

BESS reduces peak demand by 24,388 kVA (200 kVA per MWh BESS) at R 44.32/kVA/month.

Annual Savings: R 12.97M

4

Virtual Wheeling Revenue

Excess BESS capacity (24.3 MWh/day) sold back to Eskom at R 1.65-R 2.50/kWh for debt settlement and municipal income.

Annual Revenue: R 7.94M (NEW income stream)

Annual Financial Performance (Q3 2026 Full Deployment)

PV Net Profit

R 86.92M

per year (after BESS cost)

BESS Arbitrage

R 64.13M

per year (pure profit)

Demand Reduction

R 12.97M

per year

Virtual Wheeling

R 7.94M

per year (NEW revenue)

Total Annual Savings:

R 171.96M/year (R 14.33M/month)

Revenue Streams at Full Deployment (Q3 2026)

137.61 MWp PV + 121.94 MWh BESS + Virtual Wheeling

Revenue StreamAnnual (R M)Description
PV Gross Profit132.65229 GWh @ R1.25 vs R2.36/kWh
Less: BESS Operational Cost(45.73)Covered by PV profit
PV Net Profit86.92After BESS cost coverage
BESS Peak Arbitrage64.13R1.08 off-peak → R6.47 peak (6x)
BESS Demand Reduction12.9724,388 kVA @ R44.32/kVA/mo
Total BESS Value77.10Pure profit (BESS cost covered by PV)
Virtual Wheeling Revenue7.9424.3 MWh/day excess @ R2.08/kWh
Total System Value171.96R 14.33M per month
Monthly Revenue Streams (Full Deployment)
Four revenue streams totaling R14.38M/month (R171.96M/year)
Bulk Supply Diversification Strategy

The program's objective is to replace 100% of the current 77 million kWh annual Eskom purchases with SSEG-sourced energy, shifting from a single-supplier monopoly to a diversified distributed energy portfolio.

Baseline Target

137.61 MWp PV + 121.94 MWh BESS

Price Stability

SSEG 5%/yr vs Eskom 10%/yr

Dilution per MWp

R 88.9M annually (at baseline)

How Dilution Works

  1. 1.Direct Substitution: PV energy replaces Eskom purchases at 47% cost reduction (R 1.25 vs R 2.36 weighted avg)
  2. 2.Temporal Arbitrage: BESS exploits 500% peak-to-off-peak price ratios for additional savings
  3. 3.Synergistic Offsetting: PV profits subsidize BESS deployment, unlocking storage value that would be economically unviable independently
Year 1 (2026) Annual Financial Summary
ComponentValue (R)%
PV Gross Savings85,555,359101.7%
BESS Arbitrage Savings6,161,6807.4%
BESS Demand Reduction319,1040.4%
Total BESS Savings6,480,7847.8%
BESS Operational Cost(7,920,000)(9.5%)
Net Annual Savings84,120,364100.0%

Critical Insight: PV profit (R132.65M) fully covers BESS operational cost (R45.73M), making BESS operate as a "free" asset. All BESS arbitrage (R77.10M) becomes pure profit, and Virtual Wheeling (R7.94M) creates NEW revenue for debt settlement and municipal income.

PV Solar

137.61 MWp target

R 86.92M/yr

View details

BESS Arbitrage

121.94 MWh target

R 77.10M/yr

View details

Virtual Wheeling

NEW Revenue Stream

R 7.94M/yr

View details

Growth Plan

Q1 to Q3 2026

48x Growth

View details

The Result is Unprecedented

The SSEG Multi-Asset Trading Framework transforms electricity from a cost burden into a revenue stream:

Monthly Savings

R 14.33M

10-Year Total

R 3.76B

Debt Settlement

3 Years

Eskom Dependency

-34.1%

The BESS is not just a battery — it is a strategic financial instrument that converts Eskom's peak pricing into municipal revenue. Virtual Wheeling adds a fourth dimension, enabling debt settlement, cost offset, and new income streams. Recommendation: Accelerate deployment to Q3 2026 target to maximize savings before Eskom's next tariff increase cycle.